polymarket

Polymarket’s Oscars Best Picture Market Nears $15M in Volume as Prediction Traders Pile In

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Polymarket’s Oscars trading is surging ahead of the Academy Awards, with its “Best Picture Winner” market alone showing about $14.7 million in total traded volume as of February 14, 2026. Social media posts have framed the spike as “$15M+ wagered,” but the figure displayed on Polymarket is volume, meaning cumulative trades rather than a single … Read more

Polymarket Odds Point to Kevin Warsh as Clear Favorite for Fed Chair Under Trump

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Prediction markets are signaling a strong consensus on who could lead the US Federal Reserve under a potential second Trump administration, with Kevin Warsh emerging as the dominant favorite. Data from Polymarket shows traders assigning Warsh an 87% probability of being nominated as the next Fed Chair. The sharp imbalance in odds highlights how market … Read more